Please consider the cover of New York Magazine. It speaks for itself.
Mercy!
I don’t have access to the article and certainly won’t pay to see it.
As soon as I get an update from Nate Silver, I will post what he believes are the current odds.
This is from July 23. Nate, where are you?
How Harris is Polling Against Trump
I expected a bounce and there it is. But these are national polls. Seven states are going to decide this.
For many weeks I have had many people tell me that Harris can’t win. Of course she can. And I don’t mean by ballot stuffing either.
Both Trump and Harris have a lot of baggage and both like to stick their feet in their mouths.
Vance was a bad pick for many reasons. We don’t know yet who Harris will pick.
I think Trump will win, but it’s not a given. My reason is economics. I think we are in recession and things will get worse.
It is very difficult to win when the economy sours.
Angry Renters Will Decide the Election
On June 19, I commented Why Angry Renters Will Decide the Election, Take II
Economists say wages are now rising faster than the CPI. That’s not true for those who rent or wish to buy a house.
The Share of Young Adults Living with Parents is the Highest Since 1940
Today I posted The Share of Young Adults Living with Parents is the Highest Since 1940
Due to waning housing affordability, a growing number of Americans continue to live with their parents into adulthood.
“All Hell Breaks Loose”
Also consider “All Hell Breaks Loose” In the Next Few Months as Recession Bites
Two of us are still adamant that a recession has started. The other is Danielle DiMartino Booth, in her best video yet. Please take a look.
Still, the election is not a given, and trump just cannot avoid FIMD (Foot In Mouth Disease).